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Latest predictions
Answer:
SP500
EEM
MCHI
...
Possibility:
40%
0%
60%
...
I agree with Alex - last year China had the highest performance. I am even more optimistic about 2021.
Answer:
SP500
EEM
MCHI
...
Possibility:
50%
0%
50%
...
Capitalization of Chinese companies, that are listed in different markets, grew up by 41% in 2020, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence. Twice faster than USA. Nasdaq thinks that this will continue in 2021 Read more
Answer:
SP500
EEM
MCHI
...
Possibility:
70%
0%
30%
...
Japan and Europe are has-beens. What is "emerging markets"? An euphemism? Go USA and China - they are top tech dogs!
Answer:
Below $200
$200 - $230
$230 - $260
...
Possibility:
35%
35%
19%
...
So far Alibaba's growth was sustainable. Only issue is between Ma and Chinese group in power. As I mentioned here https://finpredictions.com/questions/will-ant-group-have-ipo-june-30th-2021/ everything will be determined by agreements between them, if they agree at all. Ma is still missing, and Read more
Tags: Alibaba BABA
Answer:
Below $200
$200 - $230
$230 - $260
...
Possibility:
12%
7%
15%
...
I think that BABA stock is undervalued if we trust its financials. Even assuming the 22% growth that Morningstar predicts, the stock should return around 12-15% per year. Considering that a lot of similar non-Chinese companies trade at way higher valuations and way lower expected returns, there is Read more
Tags: Alibaba BABA
Answer:
Yes
No
Possibility:
5%
95%
Let's try to look at this not as at the issue between Ant and regulators, but as at larger process in the current Chinese history. Xi Jinping's war on corruption and his replacements in authorities in the past years, I think, is one process in struggle for power against other groups. Ma's disappearance Read more
Tags: Alibaba Ant BABA
Answer:
Below $800 M
$800 M – $900 M
$900 M – $1 B
...
Possibility:
0%
0%
0%
...
PayPal embraced Bitcoin. PayPal is the future.
Tags: PYPL
Answer:
Below $300 M
$300 M – $330 M
$330 M – $360 M
...
Possibility:
0%
0%
80%
...
ANGI has announced October and November revenue growth: https://ir.iac.com/static-files/68ec826e-ecbc-4250-9710-bc0eccd5b33c 10% Y/Y in October and 14% Y/Y in November. Assuming less than 10% increase Y/Y in December, we can estimate about 10% overall growth Read more
Tags: ANGI
Answer:
Bellow $37 B
$37 B - $38 B
$38 B - $39 B
...
Possibility:
0%
1%
15%
...
Only growth. Silicon Valley is only getting benefits from global quarantine and selling (forcing to use?) their services in whole new level. Countries relocating their medical systems and education to digital domain which is cloud-based, and this based on Microsoft technologies. Getting Read more
Tags: Microsoft MSFT
Answer:
Below $300 M
$300 M – $330 M
$330 M – $360 M
...
Possibility:
0%
2%
14%
...
Well, I think it will be around 370M: 1) it is extrapolation based on 2017-2019 years; 2) there is no reason why this trend should be disrupted. Global quarantine burdening economy and making more people unemployed, its causing them to turn to gig economy. So, more individuals Read more
Tags: ANGI
Answer:
Below $2 B
$2 B – $2.5 B
$2.5 B – $3 B
...
Possibility:
1%
60%
38%
...
It's unlikely that Visa's earnings will drop below 2B. It is also unlikely that with current pandemic, they will be above 3B. I would say that the base case is in the 2.4-2.6B range. With Covid-19 cases increasing, the likelihood is higher on the downside.
Tags: V
Answer:
Below $64 B
$64 B – $67 B
$67 B – $71 B
...
Possibility:
5%
65%
30%
...
CVS revenues are pretty steady. I doubt that Amazon's entry into the pharmacy market will have any effect in Q4 2020. Covid-19 is also unlikely to have large effect as seen in Q1-Q2-Q3 results. CVS could exceed 67B in revenues on stronger Q4, but with Covid-19, it may fall below 67B too.
Tags: CVS
Answer:
Below $800 M
$800 M – $900 M
$900 M – $1 B
...
Possibility:
0%
0%
19%
...
PayPal is a widely known platform with a good reputation. It had very successful second quarter, pretty good third, so with holidays season coming I do not see any reason why its earnings would not grow.
Tags: PYPL
Answer:
Below $300 M
$300 M – $330 M
$330 M – $360 M
...
Possibility:
65%
35%
0%
...
ANGI is a fake. Nobody is using this. They think they are tech company, but they ain't no tech company. This is going down. For sure.
Tags: ANGI
Answer:
Less than $17 B
$17 B - $18 B
$18 B - $19 B
Possibility:
0%
0%
23%
Q3 revenue drop to 18.3B is concerning, but I would guess Intel is going to do at least 19B in sales in Q4. There is a slight chance of going over 20B.
Tags: INTC Intel
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