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What will be 10 year Treasury bond yield on June 30th, 2021 close?

Started: Oct. 27, 2020, 7:03 p.m., Closed: June 30, 2021, 6 a.m.
Started: Oct. 27, 2020, 7:03 p.m., Closed: June 30, 2021, 6 a.m.

Will 10 year Treasury bond yields go up or down in the first half of 2021?



Current consensus
0.60%
1.00%
8.00%
18.20%
23.40%
21.00%
15.80%
12.00%
8
Jurgis
April 16, 2021, 7:41 p.m.
Answer:
Below 0%

0% - 0.30%

0.30% - 0.60%

0.60% - 0.80%

0.80% - 1%

1% - 1.30%

1.30% - 1.60%

Over 1.60%

Possibility:
0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

2%

44%

54%

Should bump the top two brackets again.

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Jurgis
Feb. 27, 2021, 1:54 a.m.
Answer:
Below 0%

0% - 0.30%

0.30% - 0.60%

0.60% - 0.80%

0.80% - 1%

1% - 1.30%

1.30% - 1.60%

Over 1.60%

Possibility:
0%

2%

3%

6%

9%

18%

38%

24%

Rates going up, and probably going to stay up. Raising predictions up.

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lepus42
Feb. 5, 2021, 2:24 p.m.
Answer:
Below 0%

0% - 0.30%

0.30% - 0.60%

0.60% - 0.80%

0.80% - 1%

1% - 1.30%

1.30% - 1.60%

Over 1.60%

Possibility:
0%

0%

19%

38%

35%

8%

0%

0%


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LauraD
Feb. 4, 2021, 4:54 p.m.
Answer:
Below 0%

0% - 0.30%

0.30% - 0.60%

0.60% - 0.80%

0.80% - 1%

1% - 1.30%

1.30% - 1.60%

Over 1.60%

Possibility:
0%

0%

0%

14%

20%

45%

19%

2%


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Spekulatius
Jan. 14, 2021, 8:19 p.m.
Answer:
Below 0%

0% - 0.30%

0.30% - 0.60%

0.60% - 0.80%

0.80% - 1%

1% - 1.30%

1.30% - 1.60%

Over 1.60%

Possibility:
0%

0%

10%

20%

40%

20%

10%

0%


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Zilvinas
Nov. 2, 2020, 4:51 a.m.
Answer:
Below 0%

0% - 0.30%

0.30% - 0.60%

0.60% - 0.80%

0.80% - 1%

1% - 1.30%

1.30% - 1.60%

Over 1.60%

Possibility:
3%

5%

11%

19%

22%

30%

6%

4%


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Jurgis
Nov. 1, 2020, 12:04 p.m.
Answer:
Below 0%

0% - 0.30%

0.30% - 0.60%

0.60% - 0.80%

0.80% - 1%

1% - 1.30%

1.30% - 1.60%

Over 1.60%

Possibility:
1%

6%

11%

25%

25%

17%

10%

5%

Tough one to predict. Likely nothing's gonna change

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