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When will PSTH approve a merger deal with a company?

Started: Feb. 21, 2021, 9:05 p.m., Closed: Sept. 30, 2021, 6 a.m.
Started: Feb. 21, 2021, 9:05 p.m., Closed: Sept. 30, 2021, 6 a.m.

Tags:
PSTH

The deal has to be approved by Pershing Square Tontine Holdings shareholders on the specified date range.



Tags:
PSTH
Current consensus
9.00%
13.00%
10.50%
10.00%
57.50%
5
Jurgis
July 29, 2021, 8:18 p.m.
Answer:
Before March 31, 2021

April 1 – May 31

June 1 – July 31

August 1 – September 30

No merger by September 30

Possibility:
0%

0%

0%

5%

95%

The chances of a merger dropped through the floor. Not much time remaining.

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Jurgis
April 16, 2021, 7:26 p.m.
Answer:
Before March 31, 2021

April 1 – May 31

June 1 – July 31

August 1 – September 30

No merger by September 30

Possibility:
0%

5%

10%

10%

75%

Likelihood of merger is dropping.

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Jurgis
Feb. 22, 2021, 1 a.m.
Answer:
Before March 31, 2021

April 1 – May 31

June 1 – July 31

August 1 – September 30

No merger by September 30

Possibility:
5%

10%

10%

10%

65%

I think that PSTH won't find a company to merge with anytime soon or at all. Unlike other SPACs, Ackman is not under stress to merge with any crappy company. And there are not that many good or great companies that need PSTH to go public. Unless we have another economic and market downturn, it's very unlikely that PSTH will find a good candidate.

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Ray
Feb. 21, 2021, 9:16 p.m.
Answer:
Before March 31, 2021

April 1 – May 31

June 1 – July 31

August 1 – September 30

No merger by September 30

Possibility:
18%

26%

21%

15%

20%

Most likely Bill Ackman will attempt to find merger candidate as soon as possible. March 31st deadline may be tight though. So higher probabilities soon and falling off later. There is a chance though that no candidate will be found and merger will not be approved.

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