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Question 44 of 44

Which will be top performing index in 2021?

Started: Dec. 1, 2020, 6 a.m., Closing: Dec. 31, 2021, 6 a.m.
Started: Dec. 1, 2020, 6 a.m., Closing: Dec. 31, 2021, 6 a.m.

Index performance will be measured using corresponding ETFs: USA – SP500, Emerging markets – EEM, China – MCHI, Japan – Nikkei 225, Europe – Stoxx 600 – SXXP.
Performance will be measured by index/etf price change without accounting for dividends.



Current consensus
38.86%
12.14%
36.14%
6.43%
6.43%
5
GordonMSD
Jan. 14, 2021, 8:37 a.m.
Answer:
USA (SP500)

Emerging markets (EEM)

China (MCHI)

Japan (Nikkei 225)

Europe (Stoxx 600 – SXXP)

Possibility:
15%

35%

40%

0%

10%


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Spekulatius
Jan. 12, 2021, 10:45 p.m.
Answer:
USA (SP500)

Emerging markets (EEM)

China (MCHI)

Japan (Nikkei 225)

Europe (Stoxx 600 – SXXP)

Possibility:
20%

25%

10%

30%

15%


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lepus42
Jan. 3, 2021, 2:41 p.m.
Answer:
USA (SP500)

Emerging markets (EEM)

China (MCHI)

Japan (Nikkei 225)

Europe (Stoxx 600 – SXXP)

Possibility:
40%

0%

60%

0%

0%

I agree with Alex - last year China had the highest performance. I am even more optimistic about 2021.

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Alex
Jan. 2, 2021, 10:40 a.m.
Answer:
USA (SP500)

Emerging markets (EEM)

China (MCHI)

Japan (Nikkei 225)

Europe (Stoxx 600 – SXXP)

Possibility:
50%

0%

50%

0%

0%

Capitalization of Chinese companies, that are listed in different markets, grew up by 41% in 2020, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence. Twice faster than USA. Nasdaq thinks that this will continue in 2021 https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/china-etfs-solid-run-could-continue-into-the-new-year-2020-12-31 Reconsidering to be more optimistic about China.

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Jurgis
Dec. 11, 2020, 4:50 p.m.
Answer:
USA (SP500)

Emerging markets (EEM)

China (MCHI)

Japan (Nikkei 225)

Europe (Stoxx 600 – SXXP)

Possibility:
17%

25%

23%

15%

20%

USA market is expensive. I don't know much about Japan.

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Alex
Dec. 10, 2020, 10:10 a.m.
Answer:
USA (SP500)

Emerging markets (EEM)

China (MCHI)

Japan (Nikkei 225)

Europe (Stoxx 600 – SXXP)

Possibility:
55%

0%

45%

0%

0%

Not so sure about China. In real economy, US suffering from GDP decline, -9% in Q2 and -3% in Q3. China is already in plus, and waiting for 5.5% in Q4. Exports in November jumped by 21%. US PMI grew from 53.4 to 56.7, but China's – from 53.6 to 54.9. Are we know something certain about vaccine in USA?

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GordonMSD
Dec. 10, 2020, 5:55 a.m.
Answer:
USA (SP500)

Emerging markets (EEM)

China (MCHI)

Japan (Nikkei 225)

Europe (Stoxx 600 – SXXP)

Possibility:
53%

14%

33%

0%

0%


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hdsmith7
Dec. 8, 2020, 6:41 a.m.
Answer:
USA (SP500)

Emerging markets (EEM)

China (MCHI)

Japan (Nikkei 225)

Europe (Stoxx 600 – SXXP)

Possibility:
60%

0%

40%

0%

0%


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Ray
Dec. 6, 2020, 11:10 a.m.
Answer:
USA (SP500)

Emerging markets (EEM)

China (MCHI)

Japan (Nikkei 225)

Europe (Stoxx 600 – SXXP)

Possibility:
70%

0%

30%

0%

0%

Japan and Europe are has-beens. What is "emerging markets"? An euphemism? Go USA and China - they are top tech dogs!

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